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Monday, November 17, 2008

Is TCS the worst affected Indian IT major in the ongoing financial crisis?

Is TCS the worst affected Indian IT major in the ongoing financial crisis? This is a question that came to my mind when the TCS stock was getting hammered on the bourses. I thought so since they are huge and have a larger share of their revenues coming from the Financial Services. This is reflected in the share price already. Today I saw this report that confirmed this view. According to this report TCS is likely to bring down the hikes to 0% by 2010 and it also shows how its competitors are doing in this front

For now, the other IT services majors like Wipro has already announced a 7-8% hike in wages for its offshore employees while for Infosys it has been in the range of 11-13%.
I also heard unconfirmed news about HCL not giving the hikes and, worse, even cutting the salaries. News about lay offs are not good for anyone except for the markets which is a positive since its going to cut down costs and improve profitability.

Infosys had come up with a sabbatical policy yesterday which is innovative. We have to wait and see what measures other IT majors will take to cut costs.

RK

Sunday, November 16, 2008

Infosys asks employees to take Sabbatical!! What is the Real Intention?

We are in midst of a huge Financial Crisis, that's clear. And its also clear that the impact is not going to be limited to financial sector, the effect is now being slowly but surely felt on industries that are important to the real economy. Even though we, in India, are not part of the core crisis that started in India we still are greatly affected - markets are being hammered, foreign money is being pulled out of the country, promised investments aren't coming, companies depending on exports are closing down and people losing jobs.

IT sector, which is the horsepower that drove India's growth in 90's and which is still the foreign currency earner, is not left untouched. All top Indian IT companies have a decent portion of their revenues from the US Top Financial Institutions. There is a huge concern that these companies will not be able to deliver the same results in the coming quarters as the spending from affected institutions will be cut down and the projects will be shelved. There is also an opposite point of view that thinks US problems will translate into more revenues since US companies will start pushing more work to India.

We have to wait and see which view comes true in the near future. But, right now, I could see the impact. Its not as bad as the technology bubble but its there. No salary hikes, worse some companies cut the salaries, employee weeding in the name of performance, Satyam used wrong claims that were as old as 1 year to lay down a few, and now Infosys have come up with a policy where the employees can take sabbatical from their work to get involved in philonthropic activities.

I cannot comment on their real intentions. I see it as very innovative way of cutting down costs without actually looking like you are in trouble and also earning the good name in the society for its philonthropic inclience. Ofcourse they can easily use it as a tool to increase efficiency by making some of the non-performers take it. So they are not officially laid off, they can still be happy that they get 50% of their salaries.

But this also raises the question how effective these guys are going to be when they come back after an year - will they be refreshed and raring to go or will they be out of touch and find it difficult to get going? And also what if the conditions are still bad? Can Infosys just take them and put them on bench? And will they really keep on their promise of taking them back?

I see that it can be effective tool to cut costs in the near term by retaining the guys for half of the costs and having the option of getting them as soon as situation improves. You dont have to spend time and money to recruit new resources and train them on Infosys way.

Infy, this is really a smart way of doing things!

Friday, November 14, 2008

Top Indian Stocks To Buy : Buying Axis Bank stock around Rs 475 a good choice to make some money

Axis bank is very close to its support levels at the moment and is a good choice as per me to get into for a quick trade. I put in half of my money around Rs 505 and I will put the other half after a couple to days seeing where the markets go.

Actually I did not think that the Indian Stock Market will be down today due to the low inflation numbers that came in yesterday and also the good showing by the global markets. So I put in a buy at a defensive price. I will wait for 2 days and if the markets tank I will double up the money on Axis. One of the reason why I am confident on this stock is that its in banking which are beneficiaries of lower inflation and this company has had no negative news exposure.